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^ "predictive analysis goes beyond the identification of capabilities by forecasting enemy intentions and future COAs." p.Ⅱ_10 of アメリカ統合参謀本部. (2013). Joint Publication 2-0 Joint Intelligence.
^ "course of action ? 1. Any sequence of activities that an individual or unit may follow. 2. A scheme developed to accomplish a mission. Also called COA." p.GL_7 of アメリカ統合参謀本部. (2020). Joint Publication 5-0 Joint Planning.
^ "學術名詞 海事 course of action 行動方案" 國家教育研究院（英語版）. 行動方案.
^ a b "intelligence ... is most useful when it focuses on the future and adversary intent. ... predict adversary future COAs" p.Ⅱ_9 of アメリカ統合参謀本部. (2013). Joint Publication 2-0 Joint Intelligence.
^ "Predictive analysis is both difficult and risky (i.e., it challenges the intellectual resources of the analyst while at the same time entailing considerable risk that the events predicted may not come to pass)." p.Ⅱ_10 of アメリカ統合参謀本部. (2013). Joint Publication 2-0 Joint Intelligence.
^ "Predictive intelligence ... is vulnerable to incomplete information, adversary deception, and the paradox of warning" p.Ⅱ_10 of アメリカ統合参謀本部. (2013). Joint Publication 2-0 Joint Intelligence.
^ "Predictive analysis is riskier ... because it deals more extensively with dynamic adversary characteristics, a greater range of unknown factors, and possibly enemy deception plans." p.Ⅱ_10 of アメリカ統合参謀本部. (2013). Joint Publication 2-0 Joint Intelligence.
^ "When justified by the available evidence, intelligence should forecast future" "overly cautious intelligence personnel to avoid predictive analysis. However ... The analyst who successfully performs predictive analysis ... performs an invaluable service to the commander and staff."p.Ⅱ_9-10 of アメリカ統合参謀本部. (2013). Joint Publication 2-0 Joint Intelligence.
^ "If there is inadequate information upon which to base forecasts, the intelligence staff must ensure that the commander is aware of this shortcoming and that the future contains much uncertainty" p.Ⅱ_9 of アメリカ統合参謀本部. (2013). Joint Publication 2-0 Joint Intelligence.
^ "JFCs must understand that intelligence predictions are only estimates and that they accept an amount of risk in formulating plans based only on ... most probable COA." p.Ⅱ_10 of アメリカ統合参謀本部. (2013). Joint Publication 2-0 Joint Intelligence.
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